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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
BA

Peterborough
4 - 0
Burton Albion

Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Burton Albion

Burton are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Peterborough despite their recent problems, and we are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline. Peterborough have been in strong form in the league, though, and we are backing them to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
64.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 15.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35%75.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 64.12%
    Burton Albion 15.88%
    Draw 19.99%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 64.12%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Salford City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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