SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Oxford United |
48.02% ( -4.97) | 22.93% ( 1.27) | 29.05% ( 3.69) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( -3.14) | 38.5% ( 3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( -3.4) | 60.79% ( 3.4) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -2.81) | 16.35% ( 2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( -5.34) | 45.96% ( 5.34) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.91) | 25.54% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( 1.22) | 60.4% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.7)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.62)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.51)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.37)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.34)Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.71) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.94)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.05% |
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