Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
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