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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
CT

Port Vale
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Devine (32')
Debrah (66'), Thomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Long (42', 66')
Ferry (31'), Clarke (32'), Davies (34'), Williams (45+4'), Goodwin (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Cheltenham Town

While Cheltenham have shown signs of encouragement in recent weeks, they are still yet to pick up an away victory this season. However, we still think they will do enough to collect a point, with their hosts currently winless in seven league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
51.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.85%23.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)51.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.99%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.85%
    Cheltenham Town 23.3%
    Draw 24.85%
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Newcastle U21s (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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