SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
37.38% ( -0.04) | 24.81% ( -0.04) | 37.8% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( 0.2) | 44.77% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.19) | 67.13% ( -0.2) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.07) | 23.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.1) | 57.76% ( -0.11) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.13) | 23.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( 0.19) | 57.44% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.8% |
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