Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
