Portimonense and Arouca head into the weekend off the back of huge wins and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. This makes for a thrilling showdown at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
0.87) 
-1.28) 
