SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
46.64% ( 0.49) | 27.19% ( -0.13) | 26.18% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.25) | 58.13% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( 0.19) | 78.79% ( -0.19) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.35) | 24.94% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.48) | 59.57% ( -0.49) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.17) | 38.02% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( -0.17) | 74.79% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
