SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.88% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( 0.15) | 43.87% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( -0.45) | 52.72% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( -0.38) | 74.36% ( 0.38) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( 0) | 32.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% | 68.68% ( 0) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.42) | 23.9% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( -0.6) | 58.1% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.87% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
