Buoyed by their victory over Farense, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to continue their surge into the top half of the table. Sergio's men take on a Gil Vicente side who have struggled to impose themselves on the road and we are tipping them to claim all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
0.32) 
-0.46) 
