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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
39.41% ( 1.09) | 25.23% ( -0.3) | 35.37% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( 1.25) | 46.82% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( 1.16) | 69.08% ( -1.15) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 1.13) | 23.52% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( 1.61) | 57.57% ( -1.61) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.13) | 25.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( 0.17) | 60.65% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.37% |
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