Gil Vicente and Portimonense head into the weekend in need of a morale-boosting result having struggled for form in recent weeks. The Gilistas have been solid on their home ground against Portimonense, but we are backing Sergio's side to do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.