Sporting are expected to be far too strong for an out-of-sorts Portimonense, who enter Friday's match on a two-match losing run without scoring. Amorim's side are backed to inflict another defeat on a club that have won just two in eight competitive games this term to secure their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.48%	19.81%	63.69%

Both teams to score 55.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79%

39.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46%

61.53%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03%

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24%

73.74%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31%

11.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.23%

36.76%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 16.48%

Sporting Lisbon 63.69%

Draw 19.81%

Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.59% 1-0 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.3% Total : 16.48%	1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.81%	0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 7.09% 0-4 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.53% 2-4 @ 1.89% 0-5 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.02% Total : 63.69%