Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Benfica
44.46% ( -0.81)	24.46% ( 0.69)	31.07% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

-2.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

-3.15)

44.57% (

3.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

-3.12)

66.94% (

3.12)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-1.62)

20.17% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-2.66)

52.46% (

2.67)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-1.47)

27.25% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-1.95)

62.68% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Porto 44.46%

Benfica 31.07%

Draw 24.46%

Porto	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.46%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.72) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.07%