SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 91.69%. A draw had a probability of 6.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 1.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 4-0 (12.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
91.69% ( -0.64) | 6.37% ( 0.47) | 1.93% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 32.01% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.57% ( -1.58) | 26.43% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.23% ( -2.04) | 46.77% ( 2.04) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.75% ( -0.32) | 3.25% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.62% ( -1.1) | 14.38% ( 1.09) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.08% ( 0.04) | 66.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.2% ( 0.01) | 93.8% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 3-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.53)4-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.4)1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.38)5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.15)7-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.26)6-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.98% Total : 91.68% | 1-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 6.37% | Other @ 1.93% Total : 1.93% |
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