SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
62.06% ( 0.32) | 20.3% ( -0.27) | 17.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 1.16) | 39.32% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 1.2) | 61.66% ( -1.2) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.45) | 12.17% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( 0.94) | 37.79% ( -0.94) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.63) | 35.68% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( 0.65) | 72.45% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.06% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.64% |
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