Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
22.78% ( -0.05)	25.22% ( 0.01)	51.99% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

-0.09)

53.51% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97% (

-0.08)

75.03% (

0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-0.1)

38.54% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71% (

-0.1)

75.29% (

0.09)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.03)

20.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

-0.03)

53.12% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.78%

Porto 51.99%

Draw 25.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.78%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.99%