SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
22.78% ( -0.05) | 25.22% ( 0.01) | 51.99% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( -0.09) | 53.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.08) | 75.03% ( 0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.1) | 38.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( -0.1) | 75.29% ( 0.09) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.03) | 20.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( -0.03) | 53.12% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.78% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.99% |
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