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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Porto had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%).
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Porto |
45.71% ( 2.43) | 24.47% ( 0.03) | 29.82% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -1.21) | 45.23% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -1.17) | 67.57% ( 1.17) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.56) | 19.9% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% ( 0.9) | 52.02% ( -0.9) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -2.18) | 28.41% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( -2.84) | 64.16% ( 2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.82% |
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