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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
2 - 1
Stevenage

Lane (12'), Bishop (33')
Pack (62'), Rafferty (86'), Norris (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thompson (26')
Thompson (11'), Sweeney (35'), Freeman (42'), Roberts (57'), Piergianni (72'), Thompson (88')
Thompson (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stevenage

The two sides played out a goalless affair when they met at the Lamex Stadium in August, and with Portsmouth experiencing a dip in form, we think that they could be held to another draw in their first outing of the new year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
48.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.44% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.19%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 48.68%
    Stevenage 26.87%
    Draw 24.44%
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-5 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Bolton
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-3 Stevenage (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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