SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (4.44%).
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Slovenia |
65.52% ( 0.1) | 19.76% ( -0.04) | 14.72% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( 0.03) | 42.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( 0.03) | 64.93% ( -0.03) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.04) | 12.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( 0.07) | 37.8% ( -0.07) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.07) | 41.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( -0.06) | 77.82% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Slovenia |
| 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 65.51% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.72% |
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