SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Arsenal |
16.18% ( 0.3) | 21.11% ( 0.05) | 62.72% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( 0.34) | 45.61% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( 0.32) | 67.94% ( -0.32) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( 0.59) | 41.24% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% ( 0.52) | 77.77% ( -0.52) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( 0) | 13.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.6% ( 0.01) | 41.4% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.18% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 11.16% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 62.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
