SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
74.47% ( -0.55) | 15.29% ( 0.55) | 10.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -2.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.26% ( -2.97) | 32.73% ( 2.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.58% ( -3.51) | 54.41% ( 3.5) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.55% ( -0.78) | 7.45% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.21% ( -2.07) | 26.79% ( 2.07) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( -2.17) | 41.99% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.57% ( -1.94) | 78.42% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.34)1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.29)5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.29)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.44% Total : 74.47% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.29% | 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.23% |
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