SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
67.55% ( 0.1) | 17.68% ( -0.05) | 14.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.63% ( 0.11) | 32.37% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46% ( 0.13) | 53.99% ( -0.13) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.17% ( 0.05) | 8.82% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.75% ( 0.12) | 30.24% ( -0.12) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.01) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( 0.01) | 71.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 67.55% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.78% |
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