Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 13, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uriel (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Cruz Azul |
21.54% ( 0) | 22.37% ( -0) | 56.08% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( 0.01) |
| 56.97% ( 0.01) | 43.02% ( -0.01) |
| 34.57% ( 0) | 65.42% ( -0) |
| 66.16% ( 0) | 33.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% ( 0.01) | 70.5% ( -0) |
| 84.82% ( 0) | 15.18% ( -0) |
