SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Kuwait |
35.99% ( -0.04) | 27.46% ( 0.37) | 36.57% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( -1.45) | 56.17% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -1.19) | 77.23% ( 1.19) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.74) | 29.84% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( -0.9) | 65.93% ( 0.91) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.9) | 29.48% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -1.11) | 65.49% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Kuwait |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.56% |
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