Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
33.1% ( 0.05)	25.4% ( -0.01)	41.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

0.03)

48.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

0.03)

70.23% (

-0.03)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.04)

27.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.05)

63.23% (

-0.06)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.01)

23.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-0.01)

56.83% (

Score Analysis

Queretaro 33.1%

Toluca 41.5%

Draw 25.4%

Queretaro	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.5%