SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
20.82% ( -0.05) | 22.57% ( -0.04) | 56.61% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0.1) | 44.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( 0.1) | 67.17% ( -0.1) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( 0.01) | 35.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.68% ( 0.01) | 72.32% ( -0.01) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( 0.06) | 15.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.37% ( 0.12) | 44.63% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 56.61% |
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