Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
47.26% ( 0.07) | 26.56% ( -0.03) | 26.18% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.12% ( 0.06) | 55.87% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( 0.05) | 76.98% ( -0.05) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( 0.06) | 23.65% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.25% ( 0.09) | 57.75% ( -0.09) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0) | 36.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( -0.01) | 73.56% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Racing Club | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.18% |
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