SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Lanus |
47.87% ( 1.21) | 27.44% ( 0.31) | 24.68% ( -1.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% ( -2.01) | 59.94% ( 2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( -1.56) | 80.19% ( 1.56) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.32) | 25.15% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -0.44) | 59.87% ( 0.44) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( -2.49) | 40.37% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% ( -2.33) | 76.99% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.91) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.54)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.68% |
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