SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.22%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
18.08% ( 0.03) | 26.9% ( 0.01) | 55.02% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 38.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.01) | 63.74% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17% ( -0.01) | 82.99% ( -0) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.04) | 49.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.58% ( 0.03) | 84.42% ( -0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.03) | 23.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( -0.04) | 57.62% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.08% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 3% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 16.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.22% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.56% 0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.01% |
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