SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
38.72% ( 0.02) | 28.2% ( -0.03) | 33.08% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% ( 0.1) | 59.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% ( 0.07) | 79.63% ( -0.07) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.06) | 29.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.07) | 65.73% ( -0.07) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.06) | 33.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( 0.06) | 69.9% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.07% |
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