SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 38.57%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 30.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.17%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Fenix |
30.28% ( -0.16) | 31.16% ( 0.05) | 38.57% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 38.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.08% ( -0.16) | 68.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.46% ( -0.1) | 86.54% ( 0.1) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.28% ( -0.22) | 40.72% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.2) | 77.31% ( 0.2) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0.01) | 34.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.01) | 71.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 30.27% | 0-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.14% | 0-1 @ 14.95% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.56% |
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