SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
32.75% ( -0.15) | 29.97% ( -0.01) | 37.28% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 42.05% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.87% ( 0.01) | 65.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.02% ( 0) | 83.98% ( -0) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( -0.11) | 36.68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( -0.11) | 73.47% ( 0.11) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.11) | 33.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( 0.11) | 70.24% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.75% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.32% 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.97% | 0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.27% |
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