SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Fenix |
37.9% ( 0.04) | 28.18% ( 0.03) | 33.91% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( -0.13) | 59.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( -0.1) | 79.5% ( 0.1) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( -0.03) | 30.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( -0.04) | 66.22% ( 0.05) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -0.12) | 32.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( -0.13) | 69.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.91% |
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