SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Cerro |
39.09% ( -0.2) | 29.79% ( 0.09) | 31.11% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.27) | 64.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.22% ( -0.19) | 83.78% ( 0.19) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( -0.26) | 32.3% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( -0.3) | 68.8% ( 0.3) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( -0.07) | 37.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% ( -0.07) | 74.52% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 31.1% |
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