Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
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