Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
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