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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
RM

Barcelona
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Gundogan (6')
Lopez (17'), Torres (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bellingham (68', 90+2')
Carvajal (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
46.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 22.86% (0.0039999999999978 0) 31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.97% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)59.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.49% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.21% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.6% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)57.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 46.14%
    Real Madrid 31%
    Draw 22.85%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
Saturday, October 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Girona 0-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga


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