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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
GL

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Getafe

Joselu (47'), Bellingham (90+5')
Rudiger (45+3'), Kroos (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayoral (11')
Latasa (7'), Soria (68'), Iglesias (81'), Alvarez (83'), Mayoral (87'), Angel Carmona (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Getafe

Real Madrid are the huge favourites to triumph here, and we are expecting them to claim all three points. Getafe are capable of making this a tricky match, and Barcelona struggled against them on the opening weekend of the new season, but Ancelotti's side should have enough quality to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawGetafe
69.59% (0.126 0.13) 18.65% (-0.081 -0.08) 11.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.75% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.259 0.26)44.47% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.251 0.25)66.84% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38% (0.11099999999999 0.11)11.62% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.37% (0.233 0.23)36.63% (-0.229 -0.23)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.89% (0.091000000000001 0.09)47.11% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.43% (0.071000000000002 0.07)82.56% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.58%
    Getafe 11.76%
    Draw 18.65%
Real MadridDrawGetafe
2-0 @ 12.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 69.58%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.65%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 3 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Real Madrid
Saturday, July 29 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 3-0 Getafe
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Getafe
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 2-1 Osasuna
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-1 Getafe
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga


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