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BL
Club Friendlies
Jul 29, 2023 at 10pm UK
AT&T Stadium
RM

Barcelona
3 - 0
Real Madrid

Dembele (15'), Lopez Marin (85'), Torres (90+1')
de Jong (41'), Kounde (62'), Romeu (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tchouameni (25'), Camavinga (34'), Carvajal (45+3'), Alaba (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-3 Barcelona
Thursday, July 27 at 4.06am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Barcelona 2-2 Real Madrid

Both Barcelona and Real Madrid have already displayed an affinity for goals in pre-season as players aim to make their mark under Xavi and Ancelotti, who should oversee an entertaining encounter on the Dallas turf. It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect in pre-season as managers tinker with their side's tactics, but we expect Saturday's El Clasico to live up to the billing in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
51.97% (-0.113 -0.11) 22.87% (0.012 0.01) 25.15% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.97% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (0.044000000000004 0.04)63.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)15.98% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)45.29% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.10300000000001 0.1)29.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.124 0.12)65.88% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 51.97%
    Real Madrid 25.15%
    Draw 22.87%
BarcelonaDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.97%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 5-3 Barcelona
Thursday, July 27 at 4.06am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Barcelona
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 3-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, May 23 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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