SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
64.1% ( -0.9) | 18.34% ( 0.32) | 17.56% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.49) | 29.92% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.9% ( -0.59) | 51.1% ( 0.59) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.07% ( -0.33) | 8.93% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.49% ( -0.81) | 30.5% ( 0.81) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( 0.29) | 29.99% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( 0.35) | 66.1% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.35% Total : 64.1% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.54% Total : 17.56% |
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