SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.43% ( -0.03) | 21.68% ( -0.07) | 15.9% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( 0.5) | 48.52% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.45) | 70.64% ( -0.45) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.16) | 14.97% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 0.29) | 43.4% ( -0.29) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( 0.45) | 43.36% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% ( 0.37) | 79.59% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.9% |
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