SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
59.94% ( -0.29) | 22.64% ( 0.1) | 17.42% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.1) | 49.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( -0.09) | 71.92% ( 0.08) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.13) | 16.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( -0.24) | 45.81% ( 0.23) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.17) | 42.27% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.33% ( 0.15) | 78.66% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 59.92% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.42% |
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