SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.66%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
68.87% ( 0.23) | 20.27% ( -0.01) | 10.86% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.12% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( -0.46) | 53.26% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.4) | 74.81% ( 0.39) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.08) | 14.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% ( -0.15) | 42.46% ( 0.15) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.74% ( -0.7) | 54.25% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.57% ( -0.43) | 87.43% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 68.86% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.27% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 10.86% |
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