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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
14.17% ( 0.23) | 18.9% ( 0.43) | 66.93% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( -1.48) | 39.74% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( -1.55) | 62.09% ( 1.56) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.61) | 40.32% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.06% ( -0.56) | 76.94% ( 0.57) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( -0.58) | 10.98% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.76% ( -1.3) | 35.23% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.9% | 0-2 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.23% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 4.39% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.99% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.93% |
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