Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rogaska win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
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