They may not be thrilling to watch, but Roma can certainly grind out results on home turf. Atalanta have not travelled so well this term, but given their improved form, they can hold out for the point that would keep them above their hosts in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.34) 
-0.41) 
