SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Braga |
27.23% ( -0.6) | 24.27% ( -0.4) | 48.5% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 1.34) | 45.9% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 1.26) | 68.21% ( -1.26) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( 0.25) | 30.61% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% ( 0.3) | 66.85% ( -0.3) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.94) | 19.01% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( 1.54) | 50.57% ( -1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.5% |
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