SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
39.83% ( 0) | 26.85% ( 0.01) | 33.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.04) | 54.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.03) | 75.5% ( 0.03) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.02) | 26.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.02) | 61.82% ( 0.02) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.03) | 30.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -0.03) | 66.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.32% |
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