Rotherham have been a tough nut to crack at the New York Stadium this season, and we are expecting another resolute home display from the Millers as they scrap for survival. Stoke have been much improved since Schumacher replaced Neil last month, but we feel that the Potters will have to settle for a third-straight draw in the Championship this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Stoke City
23.3% ( 0.09)	24.6% ( 0.08)	52.1% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41% (

-0.23)

50.59% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

-0.21)

72.51% (

0.21)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58% (

-0.05)

36.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

-0.05)

73.21% (

0.06)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.15)

19.4% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

-0.25)

51.21% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 23.3%

Stoke City 52.09%

Draw 24.6%

Rotherham United	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.3%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.09%