SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
31.24% ( -0.03) | 27.15% ( -0) | 41.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( 0.02) | 55.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.01) | 76.87% ( -0.01) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -0.01) | 32.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -0.01) | 69.32% ( 0.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.03) | 26.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.04) | 61.56% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.24% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.61% |
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